Phillips Valuation

PSX Stock  USD 159.77  3.51  2.25%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Phillips 66 holds a recent Real Value of $166.21 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $159.77. Our model determines the value of Phillips 66 from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 402.92 M, operating margin of 0.05 %, and Return On Equity of 0.16 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Phillips' valuation include:
Price Book
2.3916
Enterprise Value
84.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.6384
Price Sales
0.4878
Forward PE
13.1752
Undervalued
Today
159.77
Please note that Phillips' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Phillips 66 is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Phillips' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Phillips is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Phillips Stock. However, Phillips' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  159.77 Real  166.21 Target  155.7 Hype  160.37
The intrinsic value of Phillips' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Phillips' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
143.79
Downside
166.21
Real Value
168.30
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Phillips 66 helps investors to forecast how Phillips stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Phillips more accurately as focusing exclusively on Phillips' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.822.072.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
158.28160.37162.46
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
141.69155.70172.83
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Phillips' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Phillips' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Phillips' closest peers.

Phillips Cash

3.49 Billion

Phillips Revenue by Product

Phillips Total Value Analysis

Phillips 66 is at this time projected to have company total value of 84.28 B with market capitalization of 64.57 B, debt of 20.06 B, and cash on hands of 1.74 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Phillips fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
84.28 B
64.57 B
20.06 B
1.74 B

Phillips Investor Information

About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Phillips was at this time reported as 66.81. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5. Phillips 66 recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2026. Based on the key indicators related to Phillips' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Phillips 66 may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.3 BB
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

Phillips Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Phillips has an asset utilization ratio of 182.38 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.82 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Phillips 66 is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Phillips Profitability Analysis

Based on Phillips' profitability indicators, Phillips' profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Phillips' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
133 M
Current Value
2.9 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.1 B
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit Margin is likely to rise to 0.06 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 6.1 B in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.06360.0496
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For Phillips profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Phillips 66 to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Phillips utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Phillips's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Phillips over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Phillips Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Phillips is estimated to be 2.07 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.82 to a high of 2.5922. Phillips' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 10.78. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Phillips 66 is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Phillips is projected to generate 2.07 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Phillips earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Phillips EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Phillips' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Phillips, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Phillips Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Phillips' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Phillips is estimated to be 2.07 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.82 to a high of 2.5922. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Phillips 66 is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.47
0.82
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.07
2.59
Highest

Phillips Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Phillips' value are higher than the current market price of the Phillips stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Phillips is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Phillips' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2182.51%
2.47
2.07
10.78

Phillips Ownership Allocation

Phillips owns a total of 402.92 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Phillips 66 outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Phillips 66 to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Phillips. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Phillips 66 as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on February 12, 2025, Senator Shelley Moore Capito of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Phillips 66's common stock.

Phillips Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 132.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.4 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 16.28 B.

Phillips Past Distributions to stockholders

About Phillips Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Phillips. We calculate exposure to Phillips's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Phillips's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit6.6 B6.1 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.05  0.06 
Phillips' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Phillips' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Phillips can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Phillips represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Phillips, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Phillips Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Phillips' Dividend Yield is fairly stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to rise to 0.68 in 2026, whereas Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 1.7 B in 2026. . At this time, Phillips' Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is likely to rise to 0.09 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 14.6 B in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid1.9 B1.7 B
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.07 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.44  0.68 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.19  0.93 
There are various types of dividends Phillips can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Phillips shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Phillips 66 directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Phillips pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Phillips by the value of the dividends paid out.

Phillips Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding408.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2424.575
Forward Price Earnings13.1752

Phillips Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Phillips 66 and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Phillips we look at many different elements of the entity such as Phillips's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Phillips, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Phillips' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Phillips' worth.

Additional Tools for Phillips Stock Analysis

When running Phillips' price analysis, check to measure Phillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phillips is operating at the current time. Most of Phillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.